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Red136
450529.0
1022440.3
162963.1
Blue92
173153.5
218624.3
141839.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513705010015020025013692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+34Teleop
+36Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points27
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +13
9Coral scored#9
33Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
61Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
8Foul points0
136Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.10.4
58.158.5
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 9.6
1731
#17
53.52.3
54.151.8
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
Second
40.30.4
38.739.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.8
End5.2
red by 1.2
1418
#43
39.12.3
41.639.3
Auto11.6
Teleop18.8
End8.7
Third
4505
#46
29.00.4
25.626.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End2.7
red by 4.7
2186
#30
24.32.3
30.728.4
Auto6.4
Teleop8.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned