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Qual 952025 FIRST Chesapeake District Championship presented by Qualcomm
Red131
621321.8
907256.9
533849.4
Blue112
454142.7
823027.5
54045.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14312350100200250131112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points11
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +26
20Coral scored#16
72Coral points56
4Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
24Processor points6
8Net points16
32Algae points22
104Total teleop78
Reef
11L4#6
7L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
131Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9072
#7
56.90.1
58.1→58.0
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
red by 11.3
540
#37
45.60.3
43.9→43.6
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7
Second
5338
#28
49.40.1
50.1→50.0
Auto8.8
Teleop38.6
End2.1
red by 6.7
4541
#27
42.70.3
41.1→40.8
Auto11.0
Teleop29.4
End2.3
Third
6213
#50
21.80.1
21.8→21.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
blue by 5.7
8230
#29
27.50.3
28.8→28.5
Auto4.4
Teleop15.4
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned