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Red221
859270.6
190845.9
83659.1
Blue150
172753.3
236350.0
907256.9
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180175140160200220240221150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+59Teleop
+59Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
8Coral scored#4
42Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +38
25Coral scored#17
90Coral points62
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
24Processor points18
20Net points16
44Algae points34
134Total teleop96
Reef
8L4#5
12L3#6
6L2#7
7L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points0
221Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.9
67.868.8
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
red by 13.7
56.90.2
57.156.8
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
Second
836
#14
59.10.9
56.457.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
red by 5.9
53.30.2
53.453.2
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
Third
1908
#23
45.90.9
43.244.1
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
blue by 4.0
2363
#21
50.00.2
50.149.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2