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Red223
42292.2
44963.8
859046.2
Blue214
210661.4
374851.4
219959.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211175150200250300223214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+17Teleop
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points36
34Total auto45
TeleoperatedRed +28
23Coral scored#25
81Coral points91
6Processor algae#3
11Net algae#6
36Processor points18
44Net points24
80Algae points42
161Total teleop133
Reef
11L4#9
9L3#10
5L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
46Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
223Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.20.4
91.191.5
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 30.7
2106
#32
61.40.9
59.960.8
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
Second
449
#4
63.80.4
62.863.1
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 4.5
2199
#26
59.30.9
57.858.7
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
Third
8590
#47
46.20.4
45.245.5
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
blue by 5.2
51.40.9
49.950.8
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9