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Red246
173153.5
68643.1
62056.1
Blue220
12246.6
188541.7
313653.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1801690100300400246220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
10Coral scored#7
52Coral points37
55Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +20
35Coral scored#26
127Coral points95
3Processor algae#5
8Net algae#8
18Processor points30
32Net points32
50Algae points62
177Total teleop157
Reef
17L4#9
14L3#8
10L2#11
4L1 · trough#5
56Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
246Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#19
56.11.3
55.957.2
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
red by 3.1
3136
#10
53.00.9
52.053.0
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
Second
1731
#17
53.51.3
53.354.6
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
red by 6.9
122
#8
46.60.9
45.746.6
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
Third
686
#11
43.11.3
42.844.2
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7
red by 1.3
1885
#20
41.70.9
40.841.7
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7