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Red208
162963.1
11650.3
88860.6
Blue188
580456.8
54045.6
40150.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181159100200250208188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
+20Teleop
+8Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave9
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points32
19Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +42
33Coral scored#26
119Coral points95
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
165Total teleop123
Reef
11L4#14
9L3#7
8L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
45Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +20
12Foul points0
208Total score188

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
#13
63.10.7
60.160.8
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
red by 6.3
56.80.8
55.956.8
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
Second
888
#15
60.60.7
57.558.2
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
red by 9.8
401
#9
50.80.8
50.050.8
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
Third
116
#12
50.30.7
47.347.9
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3
red by 4.7
540
#37
45.60.8
44.745.6
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7