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Red202
172753.3
236350.0
907256.9
Blue178
12246.6
188541.7
313653.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197168100150250300202178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+20Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points24
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +15
24Coral scored#27
85Coral points98
4Processor algae#2
9Net algae#5
24Processor points12
36Net points20
60Algae points32
145Total teleop130
Reef
11L4#13
8L3#12
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points2
202Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.90.1
57.057.1
Auto11.4
Teleop45.6
End-0.1
red by 3.9
3136
#10
53.00.0
52.052.0
Auto13.1
Teleop30.7
End9.2
Second
53.30.1
53.353.4
Auto8.4
Teleop35.3
End9.6
red by 6.6
122
#8
46.60.0
45.745.7
Auto9.9
Teleop27.7
End9.0
Third
2363
#21
50.00.1
50.050.1
Auto7.6
Teleop33.1
End9.2
red by 8.2
1885
#20
41.70.0
40.840.8
Auto5.3
Teleop33.8
End2.7