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Red173
859270.6
190845.9
83659.1
Blue138
173153.5
68643.1
62056.1
75%Model gave it25%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180157100200250173138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+33Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +20
19Coral scored#22
69Coral points79
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
24Processor points6
24Net points12
48Algae points18
117Total teleop97
Reef
12L4#13
5L3#7
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
173Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.60.1
67.767.8
Auto14.9
Teleop47.7
End7.9
red by 14.4
620
#19
56.10.3
56.255.9
Auto17.2
Teleop38.6
End0.3
Second
836
#14
59.10.1
56.356.4
Auto13.6
Teleop39.3
End6.2
red by 5.6
1731
#17
53.50.3
53.653.3
Auto13.5
Teleop31.2
End8.8
Third
1908
#23
45.90.1
43.143.2
Auto9.9
Teleop29.3
End6.7
red by 2.9
686
#11
43.10.3
43.242.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.1
End5.7