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Red211
210661.4
374851.4
219959.3
Blue129
580456.8
54045.6
40150.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17916250100200250300350211129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+48Teleop
+68Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
32Coral points17
41Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +33
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
120Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#9
7L3#5
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +82
14Foul points0
211Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#32
61.40.6
59.359.9
Auto17.8
Teleop36.5
End7.1
red by 4.7
56.80.6
56.555.9
Auto12.6
Teleop36.1
End8.1
Second
2199
#26
59.30.6
57.157.8
Auto10.5
Teleop37.6
End11.2
red by 8.5
401
#9
50.80.6
50.550.0
Auto15.3
Teleop27.7
End7.8
Third
51.40.6
49.249.9
Auto9.8
Teleop31.7
End9.9
red by 5.8
540
#37
45.60.6
45.344.7
Auto5.8
Teleop38.0
End1.7