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Red207
42292.2
44963.8
859046.2
Blue178
162963.1
11650.3
88860.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209175100150250300207178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+15Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave3
7Coral scored#9
35Coral points44
38Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +24
28Coral scored#21
99Coral points75
4Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
24Processor points24
20Net points20
44Algae points44
143Total teleop119
Reef
12L4#15
12L3#5
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#39
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
207Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#1
92.20.2
90.991.1
Auto21.1
Teleop59.3
End11.7
red by 29.1
1629
#13
63.10.3
59.860.1
Auto20.0
Teleop40.6
End2.5
Second
449
#4
63.80.2
62.662.8
Auto12.8
Teleop47.0
End4.1
red by 3.2
888
#15
60.60.3
57.257.5
Auto17.5
Teleop40.5
End2.6
Third
8590
#47
46.20.2
45.045.2
Auto9.6
Teleop34.6
End2.0
blue by 4.1
116
#12
50.30.3
46.947.3
Auto6.1
Teleop35.9
End8.3