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Red271
2910114.7
1323111.2
427272.0
Blue288
207361.4
441494.8
1690107.4
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320267200250300350400271288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave9
15Coral scored#13
73Coral points66
73Total auto75
TeleoperatedBlue +5
34Coral scored#35
122Coral points125
3Processor algae#4
8Net algae#7
18Processor points24
32Net points28
50Algae points52
172Total teleop177
Reef
20L4#22
12L3#9
12L2#9
5L1 · trough#8
60Game pieces#59
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
271Total score288

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
Unranked
114.70.7
116.3115.6
Auto28.4
Teleop73.4
End13.0
red by 7.3
1690
Unranked
107.40.7
105.5106.2
Auto32.4
Teleop63.3
End11.7
Second
1323
Unranked
111.20.7
112.9112.2
Auto27.5
Teleop71.4
End12.3
red by 16.5
4414
Unranked
94.80.7
92.993.6
Auto20.2
Teleop66.4
End8.1
Third
4272
Unranked
72.00.7
73.672.9
Auto18.9
Teleop43.1
End10.0
red by 10.6
2073
Unranked
61.40.7
59.660.2
Auto12.9
Teleop39.5
End9.0