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Red251
347880.0
327683.7
177189.4
Blue239
589583.0
32462.3
118104.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266266230240250260270280290300251239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
11Coral scored#10
55Coral points51
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +5
34Coral scored#30
121Coral points108
3Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
18Processor points30
28Net points24
46Algae points54
167Total teleop162
Reef
19L4#10
8L3#13
12L2#12
6L1 · trough#5
55Game pieces#51
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
251Total score239

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
Unranked
89.40.1
89.989.8
Auto27.4
Teleop52.1
End9.9
blue by 15.5
118
Unranked
104.90.3
105.8105.5
Auto20.0
Teleop72.9
End12.0
Second
3276
Unranked
83.70.1
84.284.1
Auto11.2
Teleop61.9
End10.6
red by 0.7
5895
Unranked
83.00.3
83.983.6
Auto23.8
Teleop49.4
End9.9
Third
3478
Unranked
80.00.1
80.580.4
Auto19.2
Teleop50.3
End10.5
red by 17.8
324
Unranked
62.30.3
63.162.8
Auto8.3
Teleop46.0
End7.9