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Red269
2056120.5
461369.1
699570.5
Blue269
207361.4
441494.8
1690107.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269270262264266268272274276278269269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave0
13Coral scored#14
64Coral points72
64Total auto72
TeleoperatedRed +4
24Coral scored#31
87Coral points113
7Processor algae#2
9Net algae#9
42Processor points12
36Net points36
78Algae points48
165Total teleop161
Reef
18L4#20
7L3#7
8L2#10
4L1 · trough#8
53Game pieces#56
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totallevel
4Foul points0
269Total score269

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
Unranked
120.50.2
119.8120.0
Auto31.6
Teleop76.5
End12.4
red by 13.1
1690
Unranked
107.40.3
104.5104.8
Auto32.4
Teleop63.3
End11.7
Second
6995
Unranked
70.50.2
69.769.9
Auto18.0
Teleop45.2
End7.3
blue by 24.3
4414
Unranked
94.80.3
91.992.2
Auto20.2
Teleop66.4
End8.1
Third
4613
Unranked
69.10.2
68.468.5
Auto12.2
Teleop46.3
End10.5
red by 7.6
2073
Unranked
61.40.3
58.658.9
Auto12.9
Teleop39.5
End9.0