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Red241
804477.7
394078.5
2481101.5
Blue249
276780.8
414568.1
176878.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271244150200300350241249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
10Coral scored#10
51Coral points48
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +6
26Coral scored#26
94Coral points94
6Processor algae#5
8Net algae#8
36Processor points30
32Net points32
68Algae points62
162Total teleop156
Reef
13L4#17
10L3#10
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#49
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +8
12Foul points6
241Total score249

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
Unranked
101.50.7
102.2101.5
Auto25.0
Teleop65.3
End11.2
red by 20.7
2767
Unranked
80.80.2
82.682.9
Auto18.8
Teleop51.7
End10.3
Second
3940
Unranked
78.50.7
79.278.5
Auto18.0
Teleop51.7
End8.8
red by 0.5
1768
Unranked
78.00.2
79.980.1
Auto18.9
Teleop52.6
End6.5
Third
8044
Unranked
77.70.7
78.377.7
Auto15.1
Teleop54.2
End8.4
red by 9.5
4145
Unranked
68.10.2
70.070.2
Auto17.3
Teleop43.9
End6.9