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Red284
2910114.7
1323111.2
427272.0
Blue237
18089.7
1662.9
494689.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323242200300350400284237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
3Leave0
15Coral scored#12
77Coral points58
80Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +13
36Coral scored#28
128Coral points101
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
12Processor points30
28Net points24
40Algae points54
168Total teleop155
Reef
15L4#16
18L3#13
12L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
60Game pieces#51
BargeRed +12
36Cage & park24
36Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
284Total score237

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
Unranked
114.70.4
116.8116.3
Auto28.4
Teleop73.4
End13.0
red by 25.1
180
Unranked
89.70.1
89.589.4
Auto20.1
Teleop59.4
End10.2
Second
1323
Unranked
111.20.4
113.3112.9
Auto27.5
Teleop71.4
End12.3
red by 21.6
4946
Unranked
89.60.1
89.489.3
Auto21.7
Teleop56.9
End11.0
Third
4272
Unranked
72.00.4
74.173.6
Auto18.9
Teleop43.1
End10.0
red by 9.1
16
Unranked
62.90.1
63.062.9
Auto10.5
Teleop43.7
End8.7