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Red279
347880.0
327683.7
177189.4
Blue293
207361.4
441494.8
1690107.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261272200220240280300320340279293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
11Coral scored#14
56Coral points69
65Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +1
37Coral scored#39
132Coral points141
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
18Processor points18
28Net points20
46Algae points38
178Total teleop179
Reef
24L4#16
12L3#14
5L2#15
7L1 · trough#8
58Game pieces#61
Bargelevel
36Cage & park36
36Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
279Total score293

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
Unranked
89.40.5
89.890.4
Auto27.4
Teleop52.1
End9.9
blue by 18.0
1690
Unranked
107.40.7
104.8105.5
Auto32.4
Teleop63.3
End11.7
Second
3276
Unranked
83.70.5
84.184.7
Auto11.2
Teleop61.9
End10.6
blue by 11.0
4414
Unranked
94.80.7
92.292.9
Auto20.2
Teleop66.4
End8.1
Third
3478
Unranked
80.00.5
80.481.0
Auto19.2
Teleop50.3
End10.5
red by 18.6
2073
Unranked
61.40.7
58.959.6
Auto12.9
Teleop39.5
End9.0