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Red137
472866.6
460765.0
423916.9
Blue53
331342.8
851620.9
753018.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1747905010015020025013753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+70Teleop
+78Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +76
22Coral scored#6
79Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
107Total teleop31
Reef
8L4#3
9L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#11
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
6Foul points0
137Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
Unranked
66.61.8
61.559.7
Auto10.6
Teleop45.2
End10.8
red by 23.9
3313
Unranked
42.82.5
46.544.0
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
Second
4607
Unranked
65.01.8
63.561.7
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End7.9
red by 44.1
8516
Unranked
20.92.5
20.017.5
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
4239
Unranked
16.91.8
22.120.2
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End0.7
blue by 1.3
7530
Unranked
18.22.5
17.515.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsMissed