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Red113
702868.0
463216.7
469322.0
Blue133
302629.6
327674.8
604553.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106191050150250300113133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
14Coral scored#19
49Coral points68
4Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
24Processor points18
20Net points12
44Algae points30
93Total teleop98
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
113Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
Unranked
68.00.1
64.564.6
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
blue by 6.8
3276
Unranked
74.83.1
76.072.9
Auto6.5
Teleop57.7
End10.5
Second
4693
Unranked
22.00.1
22.622.7
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
blue by 31.5
6045
Unranked
53.53.1
54.551.4
Auto5.0
Teleop46.9
End1.6
Third
4632
Unranked
16.70.1
18.618.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.5
End2.3
blue by 13.0
3026
Unranked
29.63.1
34.531.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned