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Red146
331342.8
472866.6
617535.1
Blue53
662813.0
99999.7
624417.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187115010015025030014653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+73Teleop
+87Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
21Coral scored#8
76Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
94Total teleop42
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
6Foul points0
146Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
Unranked
66.61.3
62.861.5
Auto10.6
Teleop45.2
End10.8
red by 48.9
6244
Unranked
17.70.1
16.116.2
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End0.1
Second
3313
Unranked
42.81.3
47.846.5
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
red by 29.8
6628
Unranked
13.00.1
13.313.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Third
6175
Unranked
35.11.3
32.731.4
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End2.0
red by 25.4
9999
Unranked
9.70.2
4.24.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed