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Red108
327674.8
702868.0
753018.2
Blue67
534852.6
851620.9
42267.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1998805015025030010867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+51Teleop
+39Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
20Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +48
15Coral scored#7
54Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
82Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points0
108Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
Unranked
74.84.3
80.476.0
Auto6.5
Teleop57.7
End10.5
red by 22.2
5348
Unranked
52.61.7
57.355.6
Auto8.8
Teleop36.9
End6.9
Second
7028
Unranked
68.04.3
68.964.5
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
red by 47.1
8516
Unranked
20.91.7
21.720.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
7530
Unranked
18.24.3
21.917.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 11.1
4226
Unranked
7.11.7
13.111.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned