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Red114
624417.7
460765.0
463216.7
Blue60
469322.0
670925.0
617535.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711005015020025011460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
46Total teleop47
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
24Foul points0
114Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
UnrankedSur
65.00.9
64.563.5
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End7.9
red by 29.9
6175
UnrankedSur
35.12.6
35.332.7
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End2.0
Second
6244
UnrankedSur
17.70.9
17.016.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End0.1
blue by 7.3
6709
UnrankedSur
25.02.6
35.032.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Third
4632
Unranked
16.71.0
19.718.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.5
End2.3
blue by 5.3
4693
UnrankedSur
22.02.6
25.122.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed