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Red84
534852.6
302629.6
99999.7
Blue142
702868.0
423916.9
604553.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9317105015020025084142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+60
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +52
12Coral scored#23
42Coral points82
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
56Total teleop108
Reef
5L4#12
4L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
84Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
Unranked
52.61.1
58.357.3
Auto8.8
Teleop36.9
End6.9
blue by 15.4
7028
Unranked
68.00.3
69.268.9
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
Second
3026
Unranked
29.61.1
35.634.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
blue by 23.8
6045
Unranked
53.50.3
54.854.5
Auto5.0
Teleop46.9
End1.6
Third
9999
Unranked
9.71.8
6.04.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 7.2
4239
Unranked
16.90.3
22.322.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned