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Red90
670925.0
331342.8
624417.7
Blue44
753018.2
42267.1
463216.7
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132630501001502002509044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
34Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
46Total teleop26
Reef
4L4#2
6L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
90Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
Unranked
42.82.1
49.947.8
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
red by 24.6
7530
Unranked
18.21.6
23.521.9
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
Second
6709
Unranked
25.02.1
37.135.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 8.3
4632
Unranked
16.71.9
21.619.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Third
6244
Unranked
17.72.3
19.317.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End0.1
red by 10.6
4226
Unranked
7.11.6
14.713.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed