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Red93
851620.9
469322.0
460765.0
Blue120
302629.6
662813.0
472866.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13113210012014016093120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points26
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
61Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#8
2L3#3
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points6
93Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
Unranked
65.01.5
66.064.5
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End7.9
blue by 1.6
4728
Unranked
66.60.2
62.662.8
Auto10.6
Teleop45.2
End10.8
Second
4693
Unranked
22.01.5
26.725.1
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
blue by 7.6
3026
Unranked
29.60.2
35.435.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Third
8516
Unranked
20.91.5
23.221.7
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End4.3
red by 7.9
6628
Unranked
13.00.2
13.113.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned