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Red46
302629.6
670925.0
42267.1
Blue112
624417.7
851620.9
702868.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7812005010015020046112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+58
Endgame+60
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +48
7Coral scored#13
24Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
28Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
0Foul points6
46Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3026
Unranked
29.62.0
31.429.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
blue by 38.4
7028
Unranked
68.00.1
64.664.7
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
Second
6709
Unranked
25.02.0
29.827.8
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 4.1
8516
Unranked
20.90.1
17.517.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Third
4226
Unranked
7.12.0
9.37.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.2
End2.9
blue by 10.6
6244
Unranked
17.70.1
16.216.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsMissed