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Red101
662813.0
534852.6
423916.9
Blue89
99999.7
331342.8
469322.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037205015020010189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points18
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +19
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
73Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
101Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
Unranked
52.60.7
52.953.7
Auto8.8
Teleop36.9
End6.9
red by 9.8
3313
Unranked
42.80.7
44.044.7
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
Second
4239
Unranked
16.90.7
20.221.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End0.7
blue by 5.1
4693
Unranked
22.00.7
22.423.0
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Third
6628
Unranked
13.00.7
11.412.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
red by 3.3
9999
Unranked
9.71.1
4.55.6
Auto1.8
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed