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Red48
99999.7
753018.2
617535.1
Blue52
851620.9
463216.7
662813.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47460102030406070804852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+2Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +8
6Coral scored#8
23Coral points27
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
12Processor points0
4Net points4
16Algae points4
39Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
48Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
Unranked
35.10.4
33.032.6
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End2.0
red by 14.2
8516
Unranked
20.90.4
17.618.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End4.3
Second
7530
Unranked
18.20.4
14.814.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
red by 1.5
4632
Unranked
16.70.4
16.116.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Third
9999
Unranked
9.70.6
5.65.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 3.3
6628
Unranked
13.00.4
12.112.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed