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Red171
327674.8
534852.6
331342.8
Blue54
670925.0
302629.6
423916.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2056705010015025030017154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+95Teleop
+117Endgame
+117Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +84
22Coral scored#5
79Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
115Total teleop31
Reef
11L4#3
5L3#2
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#11
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +117
0Foul points0
171Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
Unranked
74.80.6
70.870.2
Auto6.5
Teleop57.7
End10.5
red by 45.1
3026
Unranked
29.62.4
29.427.1
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Second
5348
Unranked
52.60.6
53.753.1
Auto8.8
Teleop36.9
End6.9
red by 27.6
6709
Unranked
25.02.4
27.825.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Third
3313
Unranked
42.80.6
44.744.1
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
red by 25.9
4239
Unranked
16.92.4
21.018.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed