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Red101
624417.7
327674.8
469322.0
Blue29
99999.7
463216.7
423916.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18650010015020025030010129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+58Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +51
15Coral scored#4
53Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
75Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
101Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
Unranked
74.82.9
85.782.8
Auto6.5
Teleop57.7
End10.5
red by 57.9
4239
Unranked
16.93.5
28.625.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.5
End0.7
Second
4693
Unranked
22.02.9
29.526.7
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 5.3
4632
Unranked
16.73.8
25.421.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Third
6244
Unranked
17.73.5
22.819.3
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End0.1
red by 8.0
9999
Unranked
9.74.7
12.57.8
Auto1.8
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed