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Red87
753018.2
460765.0
662813.0
Blue154
302629.6
702868.0
331342.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11618005010015020025030087154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+65
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +51
10Coral scored#23
36Coral points81
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
54Total teleop105
Reef
4L4#13
4L3#6
3L2#7
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
87Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
Unranked
65.01.3
67.366.0
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End7.9
blue by 3.0
7028
Unranked
68.00.0
69.269.2
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
Second
7530
Unranked
18.21.3
24.823.5
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 24.6
3313
Unranked
42.80.0
49.949.9
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
Third
6628
Unranked
13.01.6
14.713.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 16.7
3026
Unranked
29.60.0
35.435.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned