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Red160
302629.6
624417.7
460765.0
Blue119
469322.0
670925.0
617535.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14095050200160119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
30Coral scored#19
107Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
135Total teleop99
Reef
16L4#9
8L3#4
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
160Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
Unranked
65.01.3
65.266.5
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End7.9
red by 29.9
6175
Unranked
35.10.6
33.333.8
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End2.0
Second
3026
Unranked
29.61.3
27.128.4
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
red by 4.6
6709
Unranked
25.00.6
26.026.5
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Third
6244
Unranked
17.71.3
16.417.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End0.1
blue by 4.3
4693
Unranked
22.00.6
21.522.0
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed