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Red131
99999.7
851620.9
472866.6
Blue122
331342.8
463216.7
604553.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79133050100150200131122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points24
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +4
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
79Total teleop83
Reef
10L4#9
6L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
131Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
Unranked
66.62.8
59.762.6
Auto10.6
Teleop45.2
End10.8
red by 13.1
6045
Unranked
53.50.2
53.353.5
Auto5.0
Teleop46.9
End1.6
Second
8516
Unranked
20.92.8
18.120.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 21.9
3313
Unranked
42.80.2
44.144.3
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
Third
9999
Unranked
9.74.7
5.09.7
Auto1.8
Teleop6.6
End1.2
blue by 7.0
4632
Unranked
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed