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Red137
302629.6
617535.1
702868.0
Blue88
460765.0
331342.8
670925.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147160010020030040050013788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +70
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
18Processor points6
32Net points4
50Algae points10
107Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
137Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
Unranked
68.00.2
66.866.9
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
red by 3.0
4607
Unranked
65.01.1
66.565.4
Auto15.1
Teleop42.0
End7.9
Second
6175
Unranked
35.10.2
33.834.0
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End2.0
blue by 7.7
3313
Unranked
42.81.1
44.343.2
Auto17.0
Teleop20.5
End5.3
Third
3026
Unranked
29.60.2
28.428.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1
red by 4.6
6709
Unranked
25.01.1
26.525.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3