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Red198
327674.8
472866.6
753018.2
Blue153
302629.6
617535.1
702868.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176143050100200250300350198153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+35Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
27Coral scored#20
96Coral points73
3Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
18Processor points18
28Net points16
46Algae points34
142Total teleop107
Reef
12L4#10
6L3#9
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
198Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
Unranked
74.81.0
71.972.9
Auto6.5
Teleop57.7
End10.5
red by 6.8
7028
Unranked
68.00.5
66.967.5
Auto11.1
Teleop47.9
End9.0
Second
4728
Unranked
66.61.0
63.764.8
Auto10.6
Teleop45.2
End10.8
red by 31.5
6175
Unranked
35.10.5
34.034.5
Auto5.7
Teleop27.4
End2.0
Third
7530
Unranked
18.21.0
15.316.4
Auto5.5
Teleop9.4
End3.3
blue by 11.4
3026
Unranked
29.60.5
28.629.1
Auto6.1
Teleop19.5
End4.1