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Red179
1012040.7
544950.3
694150.3
Blue171
752250.4
461358.5
959733.6
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145142120160180200179171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
7Coral scored#6
34Coral points29
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +9
22Coral scored#24
80Coral points87
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
12Processor points18
24Net points20
36Algae points38
116Total teleop125
Reef
12L4#11
5L3#7
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#38
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
179Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.3
49.050.3
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
blue by 8.2
58.50.7
57.858.5
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
Second
50.31.3
48.950.3
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
blue by 0.2
50.41.0
49.450.4
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
Third
40.70.9
39.840.7
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
red by 7.1
9597
#17
33.61.1
32.533.6
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7