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Red186
1012040.7
544950.3
694150.3
Blue163
752250.4
461358.5
959733.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141140120160180186163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+11Teleop
+31Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
3Leave3
8Coral scored#6
41Coral points32
44Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +2
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points72
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
24Processor points18
16Net points24
40Algae points42
116Total teleop114
Reef
7L4#11
11L3#5
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#35
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points8
186Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.7
47.349.0
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
blue by 8.2
58.50.4
57.457.8
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
Second
50.31.7
47.248.9
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
blue by 0.2
50.40.5
48.949.4
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
Third
40.71.2
38.639.8
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
red by 7.1
9597
#17
33.60.6
32.032.5
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7