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Red118
1000014.2
461358.5
551650.9
Blue98
584919.8
1012040.7
1047927.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416205010020011898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
6Leave9
9Coral scored#1
43Coral points3
49Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points48
0Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
0Processor points18
12Net points8
12Algae points26
55Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
118Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.50.4
59.459.0
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
red by 17.8
40.72.4
32.735.1
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
Second
5516
#16
50.90.5
47.046.5
Auto18.6
Teleop32.0
End0.3
red by 23.9
27.037.5
58.621.1
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
14.22.9
14.217.1
Auto0.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
blue by 5.6
5849
#40
19.83.3
17.821.1
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed