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Qual 22025 Shanghai Regional
Red47
1055816.4
881012.1
676633.4
Blue123
752250.4
1054143.4
75948.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759805015020047123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+58
Endgame+70
Fouls+76
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +51
7Coral scored#20
26Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#7
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +76
0Foul points6
47Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6766
#22
33.42.3
34.0→31.7
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
blue by 17.1
7522
#9
50.42.9
24.2→27.1
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
Second
10558
#30
16.41.8
16.4→14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop11.7
End1.7
blue by 27.0
10541
#5
43.41.7
43.9→45.6
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
Third
8810
#34
12.12.5
12.1→14.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.8
End1.0
red by 3.7
7594
#36
8.42.9
17.8→20.7
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned