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Red126
582323.7
544950.3
1052635.0
Blue44
700215.2
64948.5
963541.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608605010015020012644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +56
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#2
12Processor points0
24Net points8
36Algae points8
80Total teleop24
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
12Foul points0
126Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.36.5
20.026.5
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
red by 9.0
9635
#14
41.32.7
38.435.7
Auto12.1
Teleop28.0
End1.3
Second
35.010.7
35.024.3
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
red by 19.7
7002
#37
15.23.3
17.814.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Third
23.76.5
17.824.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 15.2
6494
#41
8.53.3
17.814.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed