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Red87
635313.5
959942.0
801524.8
Blue103
676633.4
582323.7
1000014.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80817585909510087103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
65Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
87Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.4
37.837.4
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
red by 8.6
6766
#22
33.40.9
31.732.6
Auto6.0
Teleop26.6
End0.7
Second
8015
#33
24.80.4
26.025.7
Auto6.2
Teleop17.3
End1.3
red by 1.1
23.71.3
24.325.6
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
Third
6353
#32
13.50.4
10.09.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
blue by 0.6
14.21.3
17.118.4
Auto0.8
Teleop9.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned