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Red94
584919.8
544950.3
963541.3
Blue125
694053.7
1055816.4
1047927.0
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956705015020094125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+1
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
58Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
6Foul points36
94Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.5
26.527.0
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
blue by 3.5
53.72.9
26.829.7
Auto15.1
Teleop31.7
End7.0
Second
9635
#14
41.30.4
35.736.1
Auto12.1
Teleop28.0
End1.3
red by 14.3
27.02.9
21.124.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
Third
5849
#40
19.80.5
21.121.6
Auto5.7
Teleop11.3
End2.8
red by 3.4
16.42.9
14.617.6
Auto3.0
Teleop11.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed