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Red63
64948.5
75948.4
461358.5
Blue72
1054143.4
690729.1
700215.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10588204060801201401606372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+7
Endgame+17
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
8Foul points0
63Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.52.6
59.056.4
Auto13.8
Teleop33.4
End11.3
red by 15.1
43.40.7
45.644.9
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
Second
6494
#41
8.54.4
14.510.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 20.6
6907
#20
29.11.2
23.021.7
Auto5.9
Teleop21.9
End1.3
Third
7594
#36
8.44.4
20.716.3
Auto1.7
Teleop7.5
End-0.8
blue by 6.8
7002
#37
15.21.2
14.513.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned