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Red75
959733.6
648735.0
630420.0
Blue46
1048613.3
1001621.1
1021421.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765901001502002507546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
46Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
75Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.1
18.819.9
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 13.1
21.93.4
20.417.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4
Second
9597
#17
33.61.1
28.729.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7
red by 12.5
21.14.1
21.117.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Third
6304
#23
20.01.1
17.818.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 6.7
13.33.7
13.317.0
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed