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Red133
551521.7
821452.6
801134.3
Blue69
741317.0
694150.3
773818.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077205015013369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+42Teleop
+62Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
14Coral scored#10
51Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
81Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#15
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
2Foul points0
133Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8214
#21
52.63.6
45.449.0
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
red by 2.3
50.30.3
25.525.8
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
Second
8011
#24
34.32.5
28.030.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
red by 16.4
7738
#25
18.00.3
17.217.4
Auto2.3
Teleop13.6
End2.0
Third
5515
#26
21.73.1
19.822.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
red by 4.7
7413
#39
17.00.2
23.824.0
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed