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Red51
641424.2
639420.6
704710.7
Blue35
64333.3
1043823.0
635313.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62522040801001205135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
+16Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
18Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
20Foul points0
51Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6414
#12
24.22.5
17.815.3
Auto4.1
Teleop17.7
End2.5
red by 1.2
23.08.7
25.216.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Second
6394
#38
20.62.5
17.815.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.5
End1.9
red by 7.1
6353
#32
13.51.0
11.010.0
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Third
7047
#35
10.72.5
17.815.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.5
red by 7.4
6433
#43
3.31.3
17.816.5
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed