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Red106
959733.6
551650.9
1043823.0
Blue105
752250.4
64333.3
861347.2
53%Model gave it47%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989620406080120140160106105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+17Teleop
+3Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#10
52Coral points36
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
76Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#5
7L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points2
106Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5516
#16
50.91.0
46.547.5
Auto18.6
Teleop32.0
End0.3
red by 0.5
50.41.4
27.128.5
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
Second
9597
#17
33.61.5
29.831.3
Auto6.8
Teleop26.1
End0.7
blue by 13.6
8613
#11
47.20.8
47.047.8
Auto8.6
Teleop32.2
End6.5
Third
23.01.5
16.518.0
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0
red by 19.7
6433
#43
3.31.4
16.517.9
Auto3.2
Teleop-1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned