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Red110
648735.0
1047927.0
959942.0
Blue84
630420.0
635313.5
1054143.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9079406010012014016011084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
76Total teleop45
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#3
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
110Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.3
37.438.7
Auto9.4
Teleop30.8
End1.8
blue by 1.4
43.40.5
44.945.4
Auto8.2
Teleop26.5
End8.7
Second
35.02.2
19.922.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End1.4
red by 15.0
6304
#23
20.00.9
18.919.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Third
27.02.2
24.026.2
Auto3.6
Teleop21.8
End1.6
red by 13.5
6353
#32
13.50.6
9.610.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned