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Red14
700215.2
741317.0
1055816.4
Blue94
1052635.0
64948.5
1012040.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5881020401001201401601494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+70
Endgame+80
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +23
0Leave6
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
6Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +47
2Coral scored#12
6Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop53
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#5
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points0
14Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7413
#39Sur
17.02.8
22.719.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 23.7
40.71.5
33.735.2
Auto7.3
Teleop29.3
End4.0
Second
16.44.7
17.612.8
Auto3.0
Teleop11.7
End1.7
blue by 18.6
10526
#28Sur
35.02.5
25.227.6
Auto10.2
Teleop21.2
End3.5
Third
7002
#37
15.24.7
13.28.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End2.6
red by 6.8
6494
#41
8.52.5
10.112.6
Auto4.3
Teleop4.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed