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Red98
670636.4
801134.3
1048613.3
Blue148
544950.3
704710.7
821452.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849605015020098148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+12
Endgame+12
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +9
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
61Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points38
98Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6706
#10
36.42.0
32.234.2
Auto9.5
Teleop23.8
End3.1
blue by 16.2
8214
#21
52.61.7
48.249.9
Auto15.1
Teleop34.3
End3.3
Second
8011
#24
34.31.2
32.233.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.5
End7.2
blue by 15.9
50.32.3
27.029.3
Auto13.3
Teleop28.8
End8.1
Third
13.32.0
16.017.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.6
End1.8
red by 2.6
7047
#35
10.72.3
14.116.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsEarned