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Red121
582323.7
551521.7
694150.3
Blue91
1043823.0
752250.4
1021421.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87650204010012014016012191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#11
50Coral points38
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
78Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
121Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.34.1
30.334.4
Auto12.0
Teleop32.8
End5.5
blue by 0.1
50.43.2
28.531.7
Auto11.0
Teleop37.7
End1.8
Second
23.74.1
25.629.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.6
End4.2
red by 0.7
23.03.2
18.021.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.5
End1.0
Third
5515
#26
21.72.5
22.124.5
Auto5.7
Teleop14.2
End1.9
blue by 0.2
21.93.2
15.718.9
Auto5.2
Teleop15.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed